Iran at crossroads: three scenarios for future of the Islamic Republic

The regime that came to power in the aftermath of Iran’s 1979 Islamic Revolution has weathered countless challenges, such as wars, sanctions, internal unrest, and sustained international pressure. Time and again, both domestic and foreign opponents have declared that the Islamic Republic was nearing its end. Yet each time, the state survived: sometimes through brutal repression, sometimes by selectively ignoring dissent and allowing public anger to burn itself out.