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If this week's short burst of warm weather has you dreaming of the days when you'll be able to ditch your jackets for shorts, you'll be pleased to hear that a new forecast is predicting above-normal temperatures throughout Ontario for the rest of spring. Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC ) most recent probabilistic forecasts for the period between April and June 2026 were released on Tuesday, which paint a rough picture of how the rest of the spring season could unfold. The three-month seasonal outlook is released at the end of every month and analyzes meteorological trends for the season. Although the graphs provide an early glimpse of what we can expect temperature-wise, it's important to note that the forecasts do not identify periods of precipitation or any significant weather-related events, such as storms. According to the graphs, temperatures are expected to fluctuate across the province over the next three months, with some areas having a greater probability of above-normal temperatures. The GTA has an 80 to 90 per cent chance of above normal temperatures during this three-month period, while surrounding regions have a lesser, but still notable, chance between 70 to 80 per cent. Some northern parts of the province have a 40 to 50 per cent probability of above-normal temperatures, while some areas are more likely (60 to 70 per cent chance) to see unseasonably warm weather. According to another ECCC graph, the GTA has a 10 to 20 per cent probability of near normal temperatures between April and June, while other parts of the province, especially north of the GTA, have a 20 to 30 per cent chance. The last graph reiterates the findings before, indicating that the GTA has a 0 to 10 per cent chance of experiencing below-normal temperatures during this period, while communities in the middle part of the province have a 10 to 20 per cent chance. The findings contrast with The Weather Network's Spring 2026 Forecast , released back in February, which predicted that near-normal temperatures would dominate in Toronto throughout spring. "Winter started early, and it does not appear to be in a hurry to leave as a sluggish start to spring is expected. Periods of mild spring weather are still expected, but warm weather will lack commitment through March and well into April," the report reads. "It appears that the mild spells will be offset by periods of colder weather. This should extend the ski season, but it could also delay the start of the growing season." The Old Farmer's Almanac also predicted earlier this year that the weather throughout spring in southern Ontario would be cooler than normal, with above-normal precipitation in the north, and below-normal precipitation in the south.
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