Dollar gains as Trump sets no clear Iran ceasefire timeline in speech

HONG KONG: The dollar advanced against ‌major currencies on Thursday, reversing two days of losses, after US President Donald Trump’s address on Iran shattered hopes for a possible ceasefire in the Middle East conflictthat has rattled investors and roiled markets. In Trump’s national address, the president said conflict ​in Iran would soon be ending, but the U.S. military would continue to hit targets ​there over the next two to three weeks. The dollar index , which measures ⁠the greenback against a basket of currencies, climbed to a high of 99.925 after the ​speech. It last traded up 0.3% at 99.861. The greenback has benefited from a rush to safe-haven assets since the conflict ​began in late February. Expectations that a ceasefire could be near have reversed some of the markets’ most popular trades earlier this week and put the greenback on a two-day decline. “Trump’s comments failed to reassure markets … ​markets are starting to realize that the war will probably escalate further from here before ​de-escalating,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. “The dollar can definitely increase further ‌from here ⁠against all the major currencies” as markets wake up to the fact that the global economy will just slow down materially from here, she added. The euro stood at $1.1554 and the sterling fetched $1.3254 , both down roughly 0.3% versus the dollar after the speech to give up some recent gains. The risk-sensitive Australian ​dollar and the New ​Zealand dollar were ⁠both down roughly 0.6%, trading at $0.68865 and $0.5719, respectively. The Japanese yen traded weaker at 159.25 , but it was still away from the psychologically important 160 level that is ​viewed as the line in the sand for intervention by Japanese authorities. Now that ​the speech ⁠is over, attention will turn to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report. The market is looking for a 60,000 rise in jobs for March, according to the median estimate of economists polled by Reuters . A sharp ⁠deterioration in ​the labor market could revive expectations for rate cuts ​from the Federal Reserve this year, which have been largely priced out as sharply rising oil prices due to the Iran ​war have stoked inflation concerns.

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