Gulf Insider
The most visible weapon in the wars across Eurasia, from Ukraine to the Middle East, is the low-cost one-way attack drone. It has forever changed the economics of war and how war is fought on the modern battlefield by enabling swarm strikes at a fraction of the cost of traditional air-delivered munitions. Ukraine and Russia both proved this, and the last five weeks of the U.S.-Iran conflict have really confirmed it. In many ways, the war in Ukraine accelerated what could very well be warfare of the 2030s, driven by the hyperdevelopment of low-cost consumer technologies that can be dual-use or easily weaponized. From FPVs and AI-enabled kill chains to drone boats, ground robots, and one-way attack drones, the modern battlefield has been transformed by low-cost, scalable, and increasingly autonomous war machines. It is an emerging threat we warned readers about right before the Gulf conflict, because countermeasures against drones are lacking at scale and are unaffordable. In the Gulf theater, Iran has used these low-cost drones to strike data centers, U.S. military installations, and civilian infrastructure. In a prolonged war of attrition, mass-produced, cheap drones are increasingly likely to prevail over low-production, very expensive interceptor missiles in the long run. The Trump administration […]
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