El Nino threat looms large as data shows strong link to weak monsoons

Around 70% of El Nino years since 1980 have been linked to weak Indian monsoons, underscoring a strong correlation as global agencies warn of a likely and potentially stronger event this summer. While most El Nino years have seen deficient rainfall, occasional offsets from factors like the Indian Ocean Dipole have helped cushion the impact, leaving the monsoon outlook contingent on how multiple climate forces evolve.

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