Super El Niño, global shocks and PH's rising rice import risk

The Philippines faces a critical food security challenge in 2026 as projections for rice imports diverge widely. The U.S. Department of Agriculture projects rice imports at 5.1 million metric tons (MMT), while the Department of Agriculture estimates 3.6 to 3.8 MMT, assuming record palay output of 20.3 MMT. The gap reflects the difference between international risk-adjusted forecasting and domestic production targets. A forecasted Super El Niño from June to December 2026, elevated fertilizer and oil prices linked to the ongoing war in the Middle East, and the absence of a guaranteed Minimum Support Price (MSP) for farmers suggest both projections […]... Keep on reading: Super El Niño, global shocks and PH's rising rice import risk

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