The Manila Times
MANILA, Philippines — Vice President Sara Duterte's lead narrowed while predecessor and Naga City Mayor Leni Robredo gained ground although still in second spot in the 2028 Presidential election survey conducted by independent pollster OCTA Research. In its Tugon ng Masa survey conducted from March 19-25, 2026, Duterte is still ahead with a 33 percent preference but down by five percentage points from 38 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025. Second is Robredo, with a 21 percent voter preference, a 13 point increase from the previous quarter and the largest among all candidates surveyed. As a result, the gap between Duterte and Robredo has narrowed from 30 percentage points in the previous quarter to 12 percentage points in the current quarter. OCTA, however noted, that while there was a drop in Duterte's lead against Robredo, the decline was still within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus three percent. Coming in third was Manila Mayor and 2022 presidential candidate Isko Moreno at 10 percent, followed by Raffy Tulfo at 4 percent and Sen. Bam Aquino at 4 percent. A small proportion of respondents were undecided or refused to answer. OCTA stressed that the results reflected a "hypothetical and early-stage preference measure, and are not predictive of actual electoral outcomes. Rather, they provide a snapshot of current public sentiment, which may evolve as political conditions, candidate positioning, alliances, and national issues develop." The survey had 1,200 respondents nationwide.
Go to News Site